To be clear, I don't care about the 2nd round until there is one. The only thing I can say is that if the final two games come down to setting up a team to get in vs eliminating them, then you have the right (coach does) to sit everyone possible. If that team would be a favorable matchup to your 2nd round possible opponents. Weigh the value of ignoring the other races and concentrate on your team vs subtle gamesmanship to your other opponents. All I can say is we ended up playing some teams over the course of the years that were really bad matchups for us. CHI, ANA....
The thing is that we can't control anything unless the last game vs us means anything. If VAN or VGK lose enough games, they are done.
BTW, the pic came from a betting site, so it's just odds based. I don't buy into it at all. There is science behind it, but also it's about the house winning money.